Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 869.357935 991.355035 1130.597746 1302.654360 1511.446258 1759.086113 2.078779e+03
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 698.740264 854.952597 1051.467265 1322.205587 1694.394717 2202.163396 2.973760e+03
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 616.932992 788.412199 1017.789581 1357.306230 1866.152354 2635.354977 3.964023e+03
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 541.555888 714.061423 955.380784 1332.372478 1936.710459 2929.737800 4.844933e+03
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 496.391114 672.873657 929.864245 1351.729674 2072.462244 3357.910091 6.136910e+03
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 463.490427 643.932749 916.346409 1384.386197 2233.666610 3875.333455 7.870210e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 429.087130 608.062885 886.304455 1382.763367 2330.948936 4298.242895 9.640512e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 393.953436 567.048891 842.484144 1349.136289 2358.470992 4582.206444 1.123977e+04
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 372.857393 545.874888 828.304127 1365.747564 2488.989295 5143.785457 1.410543e+04
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 344.671622 510.543589 786.140669 1323.229497 2484.892842 5376.066330 1.608320e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 321.729622 481.907212 752.598019 1292.460265 2500.236745 5666.869841 1.859586e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 301.014187 455.357882 720.161611 1259.380354 2503.493459 5927.921357 2.130547e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 291.449441 448.573687 725.411293 1310.430505 2738.050085 7042.832790 3.042887e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 278.954070 435.899490 718.998776 1337.522730 2926.851948 8156.863142 4.283449e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 268.663152 426.003011 716.371311 1371.987096 3146.774824 9548.968505 6.301525e+04
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 252.928700 404.916782 689.665688 1346.871863 3190.270442 10285.085373 8.110502e+04
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 243.292818 394.213258 682.397886 1366.483102 3376.096454 11816.181694 1.216336e+05
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 235.739724 386.731250 680.780501 1399.621808 3618.425559 13889.292272 2.010711e+05
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 225.688641 373.714520 666.322470 1397.974458 3745.499044 15508.155280 3.095210e+05
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 213.747591 356.238152 640.843980 1363.855663 3748.556377 16413.493932 4.279835e+05
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 206.884658 348.161942 634.792989 1380.709366 3948.063199 18911.110297 8.122976e+05
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 195.925361 331.324331 608.197188 1337.572742 3903.606357 19615.105307 1.150818e+06
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 186.661648 317.330555 586.831271 1306.360004 3899.966893 20694.115389 1.823282e+06